Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.293871 1.555553 1.876063 2.304198 2.871592 3.613384 4.683860
2025-01-05 0.930993 1.233363 1.657671 2.322342 3.390082 5.146215 8.529624
2025-01-12 0.719376 1.013526 1.464731 2.254580 3.720903 6.636033 14.003613
2025-01-19 0.592812 0.873710 1.334285 2.213884 4.055454 8.397687 22.865688
2025-01-26 0.535232 0.823811 1.328972 2.383500 4.897327 12.135185 47.189416
2025-02-02 0.484382 0.772033 1.303303 2.499574 5.703937 16.923043 101.148048
2025-02-09 0.432022 0.706484 1.234085 2.493333 6.198440 21.583907 205.643995
2025-02-16 0.384133 0.640543 1.148824 2.418817 6.453216 25.904031 410.338753
2025-02-23 0.354701 0.604565 1.117452 2.468923 7.177292 34.729330 1324.866754
2025-03-02 0.333593 0.581285 1.108112 2.575589 8.228957 49.922708 10517.900743
2025-03-09 0.309770 0.548924 1.071698 2.592898 8.956024 66.748997 699249.273382
2025-03-16 0.282815 0.506595 1.004483 2.495443 9.089443 78.834752 NaN
2025-03-23 0.268873 0.490480 0.998601 2.597787 10.413471 122.075973 NaN
2025-03-30 0.252507 0.467170 0.971074 2.621084 11.381412 177.294304 NaN
2025-04-06 0.233672 0.436269 0.919153 2.542082 11.656304 225.015841 NaN
2025-04-13 0.218254 0.411349 0.878971 2.494515 12.136894 302.803564 NaN
2025-04-20 0.213448 0.409836 0.900681 2.693533 14.857173 706.993638 NaN
2025-04-27 0.206544 0.402609 0.905496 2.830156 17.454390 1751.847958 NaN
2025-05-04 0.195838 0.385235 0.878728 2.822802 18.712660 3491.552751 NaN
2025-05-11 0.183878 0.363739 0.836961 2.735072 18.990753 5753.358584 NaN
2025-05-18 0.176889 0.353632 0.827301 2.794049 21.266535 23686.485261 NaN
2025-05-25 0.172003 0.348173 0.830742 2.919811 24.965367 976850.410772 NaN
2025-06-01 0.165008 0.336780 0.814210 2.940247 27.300391 NaN NaN